SMC Update 6-18-25

Wed, 06/18/2025 Wednesday, 06/18/2025 6:13 PM PDT


Comments (4)
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adwhartonmd232
adwhartonmd232

Peter The market is closed tomorrow for Juneteenth will reopen Friday 20th So guess your next update will be weekend update before market opens Monday 23rd

Julianhmj
Julianhmj

Peter, Do have any observations to make about the 29/00/25 trendline intersecting with the low late 1850's ? i.e. spanning a very much longer period. BTW very much appreciate macro and analysis providing valuable context.

adwhartonmd232
adwhartonmd232

Peter If through market closed the futures

( Dow, S&P 500, and Nas ) are actively trading So think you can do update based on futures this evening

Last updated

bobby4649
bobby4649

Peter, the top Hurst cycle is 18 years (216 months) according to Profit Magic. looking back the March 2009 trough, likely the last 18 year trough would put the next trough at March 2027. From the peak in October 2007 it would put the peak in October 2025, later this year. I think you are catching an 80 day peak so this trade can be profitable but the big top isn't due until October and on these long time scales they usually don't vary more than a month. If you changed your outlook to be consistent with the plain math of the Hurst cycle it would be jibe with your higher targets showing across the board and thus be even more appealing to a cycle enthusiast. No money in being emotionally attached to a direction. kind regards and thank you so much for your good work.

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