Peter Eliades StockMarket Cycles Update Week Ending 7-17-20

07/19/2020


Comments (8)
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dr191103
dr191103

The HOLY GRAIL!!! Amazing. How do I get the updated version?

Nikhil Shah
Nikhil Shah

Absolutely outstanding work! Thank you Steffen and Peter for an upgrade to your software.

Steffen Scheuermann
Steffen Scheuermann

dr, you will be notified directly in TradeStation about the update and just have to click a button to install it :)

Thanks nsmilitary.

Btw: Your names shown here in the comments and later in the Forum can be changed on the account page.

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jwkim33366
jwkim33366

Thanks so much Peter and Steffen! This is truly an achievement.

I am wondering how to use this data in the context of the cycle groupings as recommended in your tables. As you mentioned in a recent post, if one price projection is met on one chart in a nominal cycle length group (e.g. 10 week with daily, weekly and intraday charts), that group can be considered to be met. But the statistics are only considering the individual offsets. Should we interpret the 80% success rate as meaning that about 4/5 price projections in each nominal cycle length group are typically met? Thanks!

m1.c70
m1.c70

Peter, another outstanding milestone in the development of your science of the stock markets. I note that when I used a brief screening tool for cognitive impairment it had a sensitivity of about 79% (correctly identifying 79% of those with cognitive impairment). This is the kind of predictor power you need for a robust scientific tool. I am really looking forward for your developments for individual stock and other assets (on your site). Hopefully soon? Given the current stock market behaviour and QE it would be very interesting to see your approach looking at Gold. Finally the one area to cover when or if you do a live stream would be for me the offset lengths and the time element of projections. I think I understand it but! Any thanks Peter and Steffen.

blairsunny8464
blairsunny8464

Peter, Do we have any projection on ES future for Market Daily projection for any time frame. Just wondering whether we already meet or still we have some projection... Thanks

robertknyc271
robertknyc271

This is a great addition. I'm guessing it's on the list to get to, but it would be most interesting to back test "all offset lengths" to see which ones are the most accurate. To clarify, not just the preset offset lengths and but any and all offset lengths one would want to test.

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Steffen Scheuermann
Steffen Scheuermann

- Ut A Chao - said:

Outstanding - congrats to you guys! Steffen, would it be possible to also get the average (or range) of time it took from confirmed projection to reached target? As Hurst said, we're looking for "Maximization of per year yield on each trade".

Good idea. I am about to upload some improvements today. So a few little improvements are in your hands today or tomorrow.
I will not be able to include this idea but it will definitely land on our list for the next updates!
Thanks for the idea!

robertknyc271 said:

This is a great addition. I'm guessing it's on the list to get to, but it would be most interesting to back test "all offset lengths" to see which ones are the most accurate. To clarify, not just the preset offset lengths and but any and all offset lengths one would want to test.

Yes, that is on our list, however given the extreme complexity of that, it is not something that I see coming soon.

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