SMC Update 11-7-22

11/07/2022


Comments (15)
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spencerdavis2000
spencerdavis2000

thanks for spending time on the Steve Puetz stuff Peter. Exciting times this week.

DAV15J
DAV15J

Thank you Peter for clarifying the SPY 24/27 confirmed projection. Important clarification of the context.

adwhartonmd232
adwhartonmd232

Peter I am now out of play money so now what Should I take profits in long stock positions

daniel039209
daniel039209

bbrentpb465 said:

Lars did a video yesterday on timing and also includews Peters most recent NDX projection He shows from a timing perspecitve that the cylcle is indicating a top very shorlty https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xUorxVmXmGU&t=7s

any day now...

jshemanski49196
jshemanski49196

On Peter's web app there are higher projections on the 24.2/27.6 offset for the IWM & ES & also lower projections on the VIX volatility index. Could anyone PLEASE explain to me why this is not considered bullish, and how the web app differs from the software??

flippendales3072
flippendales3072

First the 24.2/27.6 offset target around 4150 to sucker people in and then we start the drop into 2023?

brad.jenson120
brad.jenson120

It's worth taking a look on Zero Hedge today, particularly the post titled "Strange Things are Afoot i nthe Vol World' --- VIX's NASDAQ Cousin Sends an Ominous Signal" [Tuesday, November 8, 2022 10:21 a.m.] Here is one quote: "On top of that, there has been some unusual price action in the VXN in recent days. There has been a cluster of lightning-fast intra-day falls, with an equally sharp rebound straight after. These types of moves are very rare, and they have never been this big, with the low hitting only 20% of the close. This is potentially worrisome. Previous occasions where we have seen similar price action have often marked corrections in the Nasdaq."

jshemanski49196
jshemanski49196

albertoasta3382 said:

Market melted up on last Eclipse on 25th October, same thing happen today with Eclipse. No crash. Market went up. What are the new projection? 60min chart projection would be nice. Even a intra day would be nice

The eclipse on 10/25 was a solar eclipse, but concur that a crash seems unlikely here.

seamus.ssoh3308
seamus.ssoh3308

jshemanski49196 said:

albertoasta3382 said:

Market melted up on last Eclipse on 25th October, same thing happen today with Eclipse. No crash. Market went up. What are the new projection? 60min chart projection would be nice. Even a intra day would be nice

The eclipse on 10/25 was a solar eclipse, but concur that a crash seems unlikely here.

Any basis for your belief? Peter has decades of experience here...

jshemanski49196
jshemanski49196

seamus.ssoh3308 said:

jshemanski49196 said:

albertoasta3382 said:

Market melted up on last Eclipse on 25th October, same thing happen today with Eclipse. No crash. Market went up. What are the new projection? 60min chart projection would be nice. Even a intra day would be nice

The eclipse on 10/25 was a solar eclipse, but concur that a crash seems unlikely here.

Any basis for your belief? Peter has decades of experience here...

Not all solar eclipses followed by lunar eclipses have led to crashes, very few actually have. Not sure how much you have researched this? See this link for more info on this: https://www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2020/01/puetz-window/

Last updated

wegir532863435
wegir532863435

jshemanski49196 said:

seamus.ssoh3308 said:

jshemanski49196 said:

albertoasta3382 said:

Market melted up on last Eclipse on 25th October, same thing happen today with Eclipse. No crash. Market went up. What are the new projection? 60min chart projection would be nice. Even a intra day would be nice

The eclipse on 10/25 was a solar eclipse, but concur that a crash seems unlikely here.

Any basis for your belief? Peter has decades of experience here...

Not all solar eclipses followed by lunar eclipses have led to crashes, very few actually have. Not sure how much you have researched this?

Define crash

thomblas2051
thomblas2051

Hello Peter, since you mentioned that if we go up or sideways new short term upside projections will be generated. Can you please kindly review these in tonight’s video

wegir532863435
wegir532863435

thomblas2051 said:

Hello Peter, since you mentioned that if we go up or sideways new short term upside projections will be generated. Can you please kindly review these in tonight’s video

Personally I think that we should wait until Friday close before thinking about upside projections. Thursday will have huge volatility, and may well launch us into any current upside projections but equally so I expect a major sell-off later on Thursday and even Friday. High volatility this week will make it difficult to put any faith in current short term projections. Again, just my opinion, interested to hear Peters upcoming updates though.

wegir532863435
wegir532863435

thomblas2051 said:

Hello Peter, since you mentioned that if we go up or sideways new short term upside projections will be generated. Can you please kindly review these in tonight’s video

Personally I think that we should wait until Friday close before thinking about upside projections. Thursday will have huge volatility, and may well launch us into any current upside projections but equally so I expect a major sell-off later on Thursday and even Friday. High volatility this week will make it difficult to put any faith in current short term projections. Again, just my opinion, interested to hear Peters upcoming updates though.

m2778
m2778

jshemanski49196 said:

On Peter's web app there are higher projections on the 24.2/27.6 offset for the IWM & ES & also lower projections on the VIX volatility index. Could anyone PLEASE explain to me why this is not considered bullish, and how the web app differs from the software?? There are at least 2 reasons this is not "longer term" bullish while it may indeed be "short term" bullish if you're a day trader, like I am. The first is that basic Elliott Wave principle shows that the move up from the Oct13th low is corrective, or counter to the primary down trend. This is the case in all four indices, which simply means we will, in time, be taking out the Oct 13th lows. Second reason is that if you follow market profile, you will see that since the Oct13 lows, there are no "big time" investors who are buying these markets. Practically each wave upwards has been on primarily lower volume trading and done in massive short squeezes mixed with good old FOMO- thus a garden variety bear market rally. It will end as the past few have- to the downside. The intermediate term to longer term trend is indeed, down.

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