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daniel039209
Happy new year.
Questions;
Why is it that you have framed the market as “topping” since Nov 2022? After a massive decline in 2022? Why were you so unwilling to be flexible when prices broke out over ever single average50,100,200- you even came up with a 377 day moving average and then never mentioned again when we went above? You do present yourself as “ the one guy who holds the torch for the market collapse”( + Hussman) , do you believe that USA doesn’t grow? Or Trump will let the market fall? Asked 25 times; how much of your money is SHORT?
Here’s a suggestion; when you speak of “ highs and tops” in markets as in saying the highs of April/May 1999 marked the 132 month “ top” even though as mentioned the high was sine 9 months later and 6% higher. But completely ignoring the massive 50-60% rise in Nasdaq Comp from the Oct 1999 to March 2000 peak.
Please stop framing it like this chart “ called THE top”.
Also, suggestion; being intellectually honest this year ; you have beat the bearish drum louder than almost every other market technician or strategist- you stood along with Kolonovic at JPM( was fired) , Wilson at MS who finally turned bullish in late 2024. And NOW you’re saying “ can’t promise you a bear market” or last week you actually had nothing but upside projections and a bullish tone - for 1 day! Was that a mini capitulation? So, follow up on a weekly basis with your array of calls . Crypto didn’t fall 20-30-50% ; it rallied. VXX, since you called it a “bottom” has only declined by 3+ % while the SPX has declined. Its only use is after a huge spike, the market is a buy when VXX peaks.
daniel039209
Other suggestions more practical would be ; weekly projections- levels to watch for on couple indices and I suppose BTC or a precious metal. Something tangible and actionable. Daily would be awesome like you used to put out as part of service but you already do hours of work daily and this would add for sure
joshea1632
Wish you the Best of Health for the New Year and beyond !
My 2cents on length of video commentary...continue to do as you like and as the situation demands. No need to be locked into specific length, you're pretty good at self-editing while presenting interesting analysis.
daniel039209
Suggestion #2; when you show downside projections in NDX , SPX, BTC, ETHE can you include the resistance or breakout/invalidation levels above? The SPX trades higher overnight most of the time.The SPX can rally 200 points, Bitcoin does rally 10-13,000 while you're projections only show downside. So besides only downside looks, can you show the range of UPSIDE? thank you for your attention to this matter
Comments (4)
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Happy new year.
Questions; Why is it that you have framed the market as “topping” since Nov 2022? After a massive decline in 2022? Why were you so unwilling to be flexible when prices broke out over ever single average50,100,200- you even came up with a 377 day moving average and then never mentioned again when we went above? You do present yourself as “ the one guy who holds the torch for the market collapse”( + Hussman) , do you believe that USA doesn’t grow? Or Trump will let the market fall? Asked 25 times; how much of your money is SHORT? Here’s a suggestion; when you speak of “ highs and tops” in markets as in saying the highs of April/May 1999 marked the 132 month “ top” even though as mentioned the high was sine 9 months later and 6% higher. But completely ignoring the massive 50-60% rise in Nasdaq Comp from the Oct 1999 to March 2000 peak. Please stop framing it like this chart “ called THE top”.
Also, suggestion; being intellectually honest this year ; you have beat the bearish drum louder than almost every other market technician or strategist- you stood along with Kolonovic at JPM( was fired) , Wilson at MS who finally turned bullish in late 2024. And NOW you’re saying “ can’t promise you a bear market” or last week you actually had nothing but upside projections and a bullish tone - for 1 day! Was that a mini capitulation? So, follow up on a weekly basis with your array of calls . Crypto didn’t fall 20-30-50% ; it rallied. VXX, since you called it a “bottom” has only declined by 3+ % while the SPX has declined. Its only use is after a huge spike, the market is a buy when VXX peaks.
Other suggestions more practical would be ; weekly projections- levels to watch for on couple indices and I suppose BTC or a precious metal. Something tangible and actionable. Daily would be awesome like you used to put out as part of service but you already do hours of work daily and this would add for sure
Wish you the Best of Health for the New Year and beyond !
My 2cents on length of video commentary...continue to do as you like and as the situation demands. No need to be locked into specific length, you're pretty good at self-editing while presenting interesting analysis.
Suggestion #2; when you show downside projections in NDX , SPX, BTC, ETHE can you include the resistance or breakout/invalidation levels above? The SPX trades higher overnight most of the time.The SPX can rally 200 points, Bitcoin does rally 10-13,000 while you're projections only show downside. So besides only downside looks, can you show the range of UPSIDE? thank you for your attention to this matter
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