I'm wondering if the full moons that are referenced in the '29 and '87 analogues were accompanied by solar/lunar eclipses (Puetz crash windows). Can you confirm? Thanks, Peter. I'm a long term fan.

It will be great to review these vids as time marches on.

Great stuff! Can you please take a look at @NQ Monthly with offsets of 5/5.01. Looks to me that at the end of this month we will most likely be showing much lower monthly projections. Is my analysis accurate?

ChuckG said:

I'm wondering if the full moons that are referenced in the '29 and '87 analogues were accompanied by solar/lunar eclipses (Puetz crash windows). Can you confirm? Thanks, Peter. I'm a long term fan.

That's one factor that is missing in the analogue, ChuckG, and I must admit I do not know how important that is, Yes, there were lunar eclipses within one cycle of the Full Moons used in both the 1929 and 1987 analogies. But there is another factor that figures in the current configuraton which I just researched this weekend. Steve Puetz (pronounced "pits") did in-depth research on crashes and determined that the panic phases of all 12 crashes he studied were entirely encompassed within one of only two calendar periods: 1)February 4-April 5 and 2)September 3-October 29. Well, here we are!!!

markanderson22111352 said:

Great stuff! Can you please take a look at @NQ Monthly with offsets of 5/5.01. Looks to me that at the end of this month we will most likely be showing much lower monthly projections. Is my analysis accurate?

Mark, I do little if any cycle projection work with monthly charts. Did you arrive at a 5/5.01 offset empirically and see any statistical success or is that something you just came up with? There are default offsets for 27 minute and 45 minute (Globex) futures charts, and 30 minute and 65 minute cash charts, and daily charts, and weekly charts, but there are no default offsets for monthly charts...

bbrentpb465 said:

Peter I was wondering since today is a US hoiiday but the EU marekts are open would that give u any signs--meaning the DAX seems to be lower then the Jan low-coudl that in anyway effect the US market or the analogue. What did Dax look like in 29 and 87 -i dont know if Dax existed in 29. but that would be an interesting update on our US day off :) are there any correlations?

I do not have enough DAX data to report on similarities or differences...

Is the Analog still working if we don’t get back to + today as we went below the 24th low. The QQQ did ( still 30 mins left ) until the fat lady ...

I understood from a previous update that if the 10 day exponential moving is exceeded that would be an effective "stop" on short positions. This closed today at 4414 on the S & P.

Last updated 2 years ago

bbrentpb465 said:

Peter I was wondering since today is a US hoiiday but the EU marekts are open would that give u any signs--meaning the DAX seems to be lower then the Jan low-coudl that in anyway effect the US market or the analogue. What did Dax look like in 29 and 87 -i dont know if Dax existed in 29. but that would be an interesting update on our US day off :) are there any correlations?

bbrentpb465 said:

XXSPOWER127 said:

Is the Analog still working if we don’t get back to + today as we went below the 24th low. The QQQ did ( still 30 mins left ) until the fat lady ...

Looks like it. we got the drop below the previous low. It could rally tomorrow but it still places us in the window. It won't be perfect as Peter indicataed. But it's darn close. The analogue will be invalidated when/if we head into a significant direction opposite of the analogue. That's my take but we hear from peter soon

What a day.. My question is if we are following 1987 or 1929 it looks like tomorrow and there will be a big down and then a subsequent reversal but based on 1929 it looks like we could have a several percent down day before a reversal I hope Peter talks about this.