1. Features

  • The app uses Peter’s refinements of J.M. Hurst’s theories of projecting future prices for stock market indexes and other markets.
  • The app provides the user with default offsets that have proven invaluable for market analysis.
  • Those default offsets can be used with weekly, daily, and even intraday charts.
  • By using these default offsets, the user will see specific price predictions appear on the charts as rectangles.
  • See Peter’s chapter in New Thinking in Technical Analysis: Trading Models from the Masters – Rick Bensignor, Wiley 2000. The chapter can be downloaded here.
  • This documentation is for the TradingView version of Eliades Cycle Price Projections.

1.1 Eliades' Cycle Offsets

The app comes with the Eliades' cycle offsets selectable from the indicator Inputs. These are the time-proven cycles for stock market indices that Peter used for decades. They are derived from JM Hurst's original work on cycles.

There are different cycles for the different markets (futures, cash/etf) and timeframes.

It shows you that the offsets are almost all interrelated. So, for example, when you want to see if nominal 10 Week projections have been generated, you can analyze a 5 week offset on a weekly chart, 24.2-27.6 day (market days) offsets on a daily chart, 314.6-358.4 periods offsets on a 30 minute cash chart, 363-414 periods offsets on a 27 minute futures chart (daytime prices only—not including Globex), 145.2-165.6 periods offsets on a 65 minute cash chart, and 386-441.198 periods offsets on a 45 minute Globex chart (including all 24 hours of trading).

Notice the column headed Calendar Days. Those offsets were originally used in Hurst’s seminal work on cycle projections. Charts were constructed with spaces for Saturdays, Sundays, and holidays. Now you can see that a nominal 10 day projection is generated by its half-span offset, namely 5 calendar days, and you can see the reason why some nominal cycles don’t seem to use half-spans to generate projections. What we had to do long ago was translate periods in calendar day charts to equivalent periods on market day charts. That is why a nominal 10 day projection is actually generated by 3.5-4.0 period offsets.

Eliades' Cycle Offsets Presets
Click to enlarge

1.2 Nicks

“Nicks” describe short-term crossings of the signal line with the continuum.

As a way of handling projections affected by noise, we introduced the Nick Filter Period.

This allows the user to filter out nicks (noise) from the projection algorithm.

1.3 Statistics

The statistics introduce a powerful way of analyzing the projections systematically.
The core of the statistics revolves around the simple success rate of confirmed projections and the rate of preliminary projections confirmed to better understand reached and invalidated projections.

TradingView Statistics
Click to enlarge

2. Customize Indicator

Following is a list of all the inputs, their meaning and available values.

Signal Price
Price used for the projection calculations.
Closing Price Projections
High/Low
Manual Short Offset
Length of the short offset.
Decimal value.
Manual Long Offset
Length of the long offset.
Decimal value.
Use Eliades' Cycle Offsets
If on, will overwrite the manual offsets, but only for the respective chart interval
Checked = on
Unchecked = off
27m offset preset
Select from Eliades' Cycle Offsets for 27 minute chart.
30m offset preset
Select from Eliades' Cycle Offsets for 30 minute chart.
45m offset preset
Select from Eliades' Cycle Offsets for 45 minute chart.
65m offset preset
Select from Eliades' Cycle Offsets for 65 minute chart.
Daily offset preset
Select from Eliades' Cycle Offsets for daily chart.
Weekly offset preset
Select from Eliades' Cycle Offsets for weekly chart.
Plot Offsets
Turn the plotting of the offsets on/off.
Checked = on
Unchecked = off
Short Offset Color
Color of the Short Offset plot.
Long Offset Color
Color of the Long Offset plot.
Offsets Line Width
Width of the offset plot lines.
Bull Projection Color
Color of upside projections.
Bear Projection Color
Color of downside projections.
Invalidated Projection Color
Color of invalidated projections.
Projection Color Transparency in %
Transparency of the projections.
0-100%
Projection Margin in %
Adds the input percentage as a margin of error of the complete projected move.
Decimal value.
Nick Filter Period
Define a period in which ‘nicks’ are ignored.
Decimal value.
Logarithmic Projections
Toggle between logarithmic/linear projections.
Checked = log
Unchecked = linear
Show ChartInfo
Toggle ChartInfo label.
Checked = on
Unchecked = off
ChartInfo Position
Position of the ChartInfo label.
ChartInfo Text Color
Color of the ChartInfo label text.
ChartInfo Text Size
Size of the ChartInfo label text.
Show hover tooltip labels
Acivates tooltip labels at the top left corner of projections.
Checked = on
Unchecked = off
Only open projections
Hover tooltip labels only on open projections.
Checked = on
Unchecked = off
Max tooltip labels
Maximum number of tooltip labels.
Show Statistics Table
Toggle Statistics table.
Checked = on
Unchecked = off
Statistics Table Position
Position of the Statistics table.
Display Mode
Allows to set the app into Desktop or Mobile mode⁠. Mobile mode is intended to be used on mobile devices, with a compact version of ChartInfo, Statistics Table and more margin from the top of the screen to avoid overlap with status line⁠.
Prune historical vectors
Use this in case you need to improve performance. If on, the below inputs are used to prune historical data.
Checked = on
Unchecked = off
Keep ribbon history bars
Maximum number of ribbon history bars.
Keep offset rows
Maximum number of offset rows.
Keep offset segment rows
Maximum number of offset segment rows.
Keep projection rows
Maximum number of projection rows.
Keep projection boxes
Maximum number of projection boxes.

3. Updates

Updates are automatically distributed and TradingView notifies you via email for updates.
You may see an “Update available” symbol when a newer version exists compared with the version on the chart. Click the update/refresh symbol next to the indicator name. Alternatively, remove the indicator and add it again from Indicators → Invite-only.

4. Videos

4.1 Primer Eliades Cycle Price Projections

4.2 What Really Makes the market move Up and Down

4.3 What the Heck is a "Nick"?